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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+6.59vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+5.58vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.77+3.35vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.73+2.56vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.39vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.72+0.74vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.09+1.93vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38-0.27vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.38-0.98vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.47-2.68vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.81-0.88vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.39+2.34vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.90-3.27vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.20-5.28vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.08-0.07vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.18-7.36vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.16-4.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.58Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.35Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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6.56Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.74Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.93University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.73Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.02Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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7.32Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.12Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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14.34Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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8.72Harvard University3.200.0%1st Place
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14.93Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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8.64Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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12.32Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 2.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 24.5% | 33.1% |
| William Crary | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 22.2% | 46.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Peter Christensen | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 19.2% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.