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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.77+5.02vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+4.30vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.18+5.36vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.46vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+2.50vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+4.26vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.38+0.63vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.81+1.62vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-1.36vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.73-3.75vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.90-1.40vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-4.38vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.66+0.56vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.47-6.58vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.08-0.22vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.09-7.22vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.39-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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6.3Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.36Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.5Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.26Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.63Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.62Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.64Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.25Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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7.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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13.56Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.42Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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14.78Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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8.78University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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14.22Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 2.7% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| William Crary | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Trevor Long | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 15.8% | 23.2% | 19.8% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 12.6% | 20.2% | 42.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Jennifer Killian | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 24.2% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.