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📊 Prediction Accuracy
32.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara-0.51+8.46vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+0.86vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.91+8.70vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-0.34+4.81vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.38+4.15vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.75+5.11vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22-0.54vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.27+0.70vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.98+3.03vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.25+3.99vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-1.01+1.36vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.36+2.84vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.83+3.61vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.48+0.90vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.53-0.32vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.50-1.07vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-1.22-3.49vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz-1.17-4.75vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-2.21-0.28vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz-1.99-2.58vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-1.41-6.21vs Predicted
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22San Diego State University-0.86-10.46vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-1.72-6.80vs Predicted
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24University of California at Irvine-1.81-7.24vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-2.63-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.46University of California at Santa Barbara-0.514.0%1st Place
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2.86University of California at Santa Cruz1.4533.5%1st Place
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11.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.913.1%1st Place
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8.81University of California at Los Angeles-0.345.1%1st Place
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9.15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.384.9%1st Place
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11.11University of California at Berkeley-0.753.5%1st Place
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6.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.228.9%1st Place
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8.7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.275.7%1st Place
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12.03University of California at Berkeley-0.982.9%1st Place
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13.99University of California at San Diego-1.252.1%1st Place
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12.36San Diego State University-1.012.5%1st Place
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14.84University of California at Irvine-1.361.3%1st Place
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16.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.831.7%1st Place
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14.9University of California at Davis-1.481.9%1st Place
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14.68Arizona State University-1.531.9%1st Place
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14.93University of California at San Diego-1.501.8%1st Place
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13.51University of California at Davis-1.222.6%1st Place
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13.25University of California at Santa Cruz-1.172.4%1st Place
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18.72Arizona State University-2.210.9%1st Place
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17.42University of California at Santa Cruz-1.991.4%1st Place
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14.79University of California at Davis-1.411.7%1st Place
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11.54San Diego State University-0.862.8%1st Place
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16.2Arizona State University-1.721.5%1st Place
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16.76University of California at Irvine-1.811.5%1st Place
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20.21University of California at Los Angeles-2.630.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Kestenbaum | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Buster Baylis | 33.5% | 21.9% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Wiley | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Rigel Mummers | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brily Petersen | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Fagan | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Parker Ziegler | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emilia McNabb | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Maciel | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Adem Evecek | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% |
| julian stauffer | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Paul Munsell | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% |
| James Makler | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Liza Churkov | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Tony Gao | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| McQuaid Harkin-Goodrich | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 15.6% |
| Dakota Rutherford | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 9.6% |
| Juliette Cramer | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Marley Daniel | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Moore | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| Ryan Gedminas | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% |
| Felix Zhang | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.