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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+5.15vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+5.40vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.65vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.38+3.71vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.12vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.77+0.39vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38+0.68vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.66+5.27vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.72-2.44vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.90-0.69vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.47-3.52vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.81-2.27vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.09-4.15vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39+0.26vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.75-4.98vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.18-7.54vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.08-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.4Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.71Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.39Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.68Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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13.27Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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6.56Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.31University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.73Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.85University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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14.26Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.02Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.46Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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14.94Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Long | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 16.1% | 23.1% | 18.6% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Crary | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Scott Barbano | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 24.6% | 30.2% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 11.9% | 21.6% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.