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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.77+4.96vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+5.42vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+6.89vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.72+2.38vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.38+2.37vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.18+2.48vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.30vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.81+1.47vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.38-1.18vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.47-2.91vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.42-3.44vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.73-5.72vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.90-3.49vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.66-0.45vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.76-5.11vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-1.82vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.08-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.89Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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6.38Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.37Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.48Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.47Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.82Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.09Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.56Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.28Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.51University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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13.55Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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14.18Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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14.86Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Bryan | 12.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 1.7% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Crary | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Kurran Singh | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 14.9% | 22.8% | 20.6% |
| Brendan Read | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 22.6% | 29.0% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 22.1% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.