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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+5.10vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.81+7.62vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+3.22vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.33vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+4.74vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.42+1.52vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38+0.55vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.47-0.91vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.77-2.73vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.76-0.18vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.38-3.29vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.66+1.49vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.90-4.50vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-7.29vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.18-7.74vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.39-2.79vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.08-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.62Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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6.22Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.74Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.52Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.55Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.09Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.27Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.82University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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7.71Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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13.49Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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9.5University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.26Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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14.21Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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14.86Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 11.9% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 14.0% | 23.1% | 20.5% |
| William Crary | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Trevor Long | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 13.8% | 24.3% | 28.7% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 20.6% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.