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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+6.22vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+7.86vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.38+4.57vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+3.70vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.12vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.72+0.50vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.18+1.32vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.47-0.88vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.73-2.52vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.81-0.34vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.90-1.50vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.77-5.78vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.66+0.59vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.69-0.45vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-7.38vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.08-1.04vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.76-6.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.22Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.86Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.57Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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7.7Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.5Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.32Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.48Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.66Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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9.5University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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6.22Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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13.59Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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13.55Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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14.96Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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10.01University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| William Crary | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 23.0% | 22.2% |
| Brian Baker | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 15.6% | 20.4% | 22.8% |
| Trevor Long | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 21.6% | 43.9% |
| Brendan Read | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.