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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+5.59vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.90+7.41vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.77+3.19vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.38+3.71vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.47+2.17vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+1.82vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+3.02vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.72-1.69vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.76+1.17vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-2.77vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.73-4.52vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.66+1.54vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.18-4.47vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.42-6.33vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.69-1.61vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.81-6.18vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.08-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.41University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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6.19Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.71Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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7.17Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.82Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.02Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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6.31Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.17University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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7.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.48Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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13.54Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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8.53Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.67Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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13.39Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.82Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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14.94Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Crary | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 13.8% | 21.4% | 23.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Brian Baker | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 14.1% | 23.1% | 20.7% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 19.5% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.