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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.77+5.09vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.69vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.72+3.45vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.76+6.01vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.18+3.27vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+4.17vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38+0.68vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.73-1.74vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.81+0.97vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.47-2.79vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.38-3.26vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.42-4.56vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.66+0.61vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-6.48vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.90-5.55vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.08-1.04vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.69-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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6.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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6.45Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.01University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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8.27Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.17Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.68Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.26Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.97Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.21Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.74Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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7.44Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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13.61Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.45University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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14.96Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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13.48Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Read | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 1.4% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Robert Floyd | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 23.2% | 21.8% |
| Dana Rohde | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| William Crary | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 19.8% | 45.2% |
| Brian Baker | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 19.8% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.