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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.18+7.33vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.24+2.67vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.47+4.44vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.48+3.42vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.76+4.97vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.73vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.77-0.64vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38-0.37vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-1.19vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.16+2.21vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.90-1.23vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.20-3.54vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-5.05vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.38-6.13vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.81-5.09vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-1.59vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.08-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.33Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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4.67Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.42Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.97University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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7.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.36Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.63Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.81Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.21Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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8.46Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.87Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.91Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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14.41Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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15.06Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGuire | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.7% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 2.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Peter Christensen | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 9.3% |
| William Crary | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Trevor Long | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 25.8% | 32.8% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 9.5% | 19.7% | 47.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.