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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+6.54vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+5.40vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.77+3.43vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.24+0.93vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.47+2.31vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+2.00vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.39+7.27vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.90+1.45vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.18-0.20vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.76+0.12vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-3.22vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.81-2.03vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-5.95vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.16-1.63vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.38-7.13vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.08-0.97vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.20-8.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.4Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.43Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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4.93Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.31Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.0Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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14.27Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.45University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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8.8Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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10.12University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.97Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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12.37Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.87Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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15.03Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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8.66Harvard University3.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.9% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Killian | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 27.6% | 31.1% |
| William Crary | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Brendan Read | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Peter Christensen | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 11.1% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 19.1% | 47.7% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.