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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.18+7.26vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.73vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.51vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+3.85vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.48+2.20vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.76+4.28vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.90+2.54vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.24-3.23vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.81+1.05vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.77-3.75vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.16+1.21vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.42-4.42vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.39+1.29vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.38-6.12vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.47-7.59vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.75-6.83vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.08-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.26Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.85Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.2Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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10.28University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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9.54University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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4.77Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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10.05Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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6.25Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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12.21Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.58Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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14.29Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.88Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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7.41Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.17Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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15.03Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGuire | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Read | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 2.2% |
| William Crary | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Baird | 17.2% | 15.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Peter Christensen | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 9.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 25.2% | 32.3% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 19.6% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.