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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.71+2.90vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+1.42vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.09+2.37vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.86+1.90vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California-0.48+6.24vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University0.19+2.61vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.52+0.19vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00+5.64vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.62+2.99vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara-0.49+1.05vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy0.81-4.73vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.29-1.76vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-1.98+4.22vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.84-1.22vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-1.24-0.57vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-0.75vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.40-2.03vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.41-2.36vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-1.40-4.11vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-2.05-2.86vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-1.42-5.45vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-1.73-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9University of Southern California1.7119.7%1st Place
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3.42California Poly Maritime Academy1.9224.0%1st Place
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5.37University of Southern California1.099.5%1st Place
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5.9University of California at Berkeley0.868.4%1st Place
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11.24University of Southern California-0.482.5%1st Place
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8.61San Diego State University0.194.1%1st Place
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7.19University of California at Los Angeles0.526.4%1st Place
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13.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.001.1%1st Place
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11.99Arizona State University-0.621.7%1st Place
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11.05University of California at Santa Barbara-0.493.0%1st Place
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6.27California Poly Maritime Academy0.818.1%1st Place
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10.24University of California at Santa Cruz-0.292.8%1st Place
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17.22California State University Channel Islands-1.980.5%1st Place
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12.78University of California at Irvine-0.842.1%1st Place
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14.43San Diego State University-1.240.8%1st Place
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15.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.7%1st Place
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14.97California State University Channel Islands-1.400.9%1st Place
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15.64University of California at San Diego-1.410.8%1st Place
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14.89University of California at Davis-1.401.0%1st Place
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17.14University of California at San Diego-2.050.4%1st Place
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15.55University of California at Irvine-1.420.9%1st Place
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16.32University of California at Los Angeles-1.730.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 19.7% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 24.0% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Conze | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Bergan | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Owen Gormely | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Connelly | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicolai Perez | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Elliott | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 20.4% |
| Brayden Money | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% |
| Seraphee de Labaca | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 4.9% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% |
| Blossom Jee | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 20.5% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.