← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+5.70vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.48+5.24vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University3.77+3.29vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.38+3.83vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.32vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont2.90+3.74vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College3.18+1.57vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College2.81+1.70vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.38-1.09vs Predicted
-
10Boston University3.42-2.53vs Predicted
-
11Salve Regina University1.39+3.27vs Predicted
-
12Yale University4.24-7.20vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University3.47-5.47vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University2.75-3.72vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island2.76-4.90vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University2.16-3.76vs Predicted
-
17Middlebury College1.08-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
-
7.24Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
6.29Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
7.83Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
7.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
9.74University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
-
8.57Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
-
9.7Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
-
7.91Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
-
7.47Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
14.27Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
-
4.8Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
-
7.53Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
10.28Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
-
10.1University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
-
12.24Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
-
15.02Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| William Crary | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 1.9% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 23.7% | 32.9% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.2% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 2.7% |
| Brendan Read | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Peter Christensen | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 9.4% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 20.1% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.