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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+6.46vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.77+4.31vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.09+5.98vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+3.05vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.24-0.23vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.38+2.00vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38+0.93vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.26+0.17vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.48-1.34vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.42-2.37vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.16+1.35vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.81-2.04vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.18-4.23vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.20-5.32vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.90-5.28vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.39-2.54vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.08-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.31Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.98University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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4.77Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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8.0Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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7.93Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.17Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.66Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.63Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.35Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.96Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.77Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.68Harvard University3.200.0%1st Place
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9.72University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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14.46Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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15.09Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 17.3% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Tong | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Harry Koeppel | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Peter Christensen | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 19.6% | 10.4% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| William Crary | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 1.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 12.9% | 24.6% | 32.6% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 20.3% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.