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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+6.29vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.24+2.78vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.38+4.87vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.18+4.71vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+2.72vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.81+4.22vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42+0.70vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.16+4.06vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-1.84vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.90-0.46vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.77-4.36vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.09-3.02vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.20-4.29vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.26-5.46vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.08-1.07vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.39-2.58vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-10.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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4.78Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.87Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.71Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.72Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.22Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.7Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.06Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.54University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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6.64Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.98University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.71Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University3.260.0%1st Place
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14.93Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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14.42Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Koeppel | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.9% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Jack McGuire | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 2.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 3.0% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 10.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| William Crary | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Tong | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 19.5% | 47.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 11.9% | 25.3% | 32.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.