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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.38+6.71vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.77+4.32vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.48+4.56vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.76vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.47+2.41vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+2.13vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.09+2.01vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.24-3.13vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-1.07vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.20-1.51vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.81-0.84vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.08+3.06vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.16-0.60vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.18-5.15vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-7.98vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.90-6.14vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.39-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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6.32Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.56Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.41Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.13Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.01University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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4.87Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.93Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.49Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.16Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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15.06Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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12.4Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.85Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.86University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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14.46Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Floyd | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Baird | 17.1% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 2.6% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 20.4% | 48.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 9.6% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| William Crary | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 25.9% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.