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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.95+1.35vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University0.88+0.39vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.52-0.23vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.32-1.01vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound-1.31-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35University of Washington0.950.3%1st Place
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2.39Oregon State University0.880.3%1st Place
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2.77Western Washington University0.520.2%1st Place
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2.99University of Oregon0.320.2%1st Place
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4.5University of Puget Sound-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 32.0% | 25.9% | 22.3% | 15.1% | 4.7% |
| Michael Levy | 29.6% | 26.2% | 23.8% | 16.8% | 3.6% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 20.2% | 22.0% | 24.3% | 27.1% | 6.4% |
| Sam Reul | 15.6% | 20.6% | 23.2% | 30.3% | 10.3% |
| Arthur Jenkins | 2.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 75.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.