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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.38+7.84vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+0.82vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.91+8.26vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara-0.51+5.56vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.34+4.09vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.75+4.94vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.27+1.50vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22-1.55vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-1.01+3.44vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.83+6.74vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.36+4.29vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.25+2.08vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.53+1.67vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.72+2.26vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.50+0.15vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.22-2.22vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.86-5.39vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-1.48-3.12vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz-1.17-5.81vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley-0.98-7.83vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-1.41-6.58vs Predicted
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22University of California at Santa Cruz-1.99-4.83vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine-1.81-6.21vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-2.21-5.32vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-2.63-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.84University of California at Santa Cruz-0.384.3%1st Place
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2.82University of California at Santa Cruz1.4533.7%1st Place
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11.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.913.1%1st Place
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9.56University of California at Santa Barbara-0.514.9%1st Place
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9.09University of California at Los Angeles-0.344.9%1st Place
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10.94University of California at Berkeley-0.753.9%1st Place
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8.5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.275.7%1st Place
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6.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.229.5%1st Place
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12.44San Diego State University-1.012.8%1st Place
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16.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.831.1%1st Place
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15.29University of California at Irvine-1.361.6%1st Place
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14.08University of California at San Diego-1.252.0%1st Place
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14.67Arizona State University-1.532.2%1st Place
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16.26Arizona State University-1.721.6%1st Place
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15.15University of California at San Diego-1.501.8%1st Place
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13.78University of California at Davis-1.222.1%1st Place
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11.61San Diego State University-0.862.7%1st Place
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14.88University of California at Davis-1.482.1%1st Place
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13.19University of California at Santa Cruz-1.172.2%1st Place
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12.17University of California at Berkeley-0.982.3%1st Place
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14.42University of California at Davis-1.411.5%1st Place
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17.17University of California at Santa Cruz-1.991.2%1st Place
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16.79University of California at Irvine-1.811.1%1st Place
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18.68Arizona State University-2.211.0%1st Place
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20.24University of California at Los Angeles-2.630.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brily Petersen | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Buster Baylis | 33.7% | 22.2% | 15.8% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Wiley | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Kestenbaum | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rigel Mummers | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Fagan | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emilia McNabb | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Parker Ziegler | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| julian stauffer | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Paul Munsell | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Adem Evecek | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Christopher Moore | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% |
| Liza Churkov | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Tony Gao | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Marley Daniel | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| James Makler | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| McQuaid Harkin-Goodrich | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Marianna Maciel | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Juliette Cramer | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% |
| Dakota Rutherford | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% |
| Ryan Gedminas | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 14.9% |
| Felix Zhang | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.