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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College3.65+4.03vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.37+3.89vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79+1.70vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+2.19vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56+0.22vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.63-0.73vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.73+1.04vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University1.95+2.44vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.42+3.41vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.48-1.19vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.84-3.24vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.13-1.99vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.70+1.10vs Predicted
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14Villanova University1.80-2.77vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.42-5.95vs Predicted
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16Princeton University0.13-0.69vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University0.97-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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5.89U. S. Naval Academy3.370.1%1st Place
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4.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.1%1st Place
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6.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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5.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Pennsylvania3.630.1%1st Place
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8.04Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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10.44Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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12.41Cornell University1.420.0%1st Place
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8.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.480.0%1st Place
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7.76George Washington University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.01Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
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14.1Drexel University0.700.0%1st Place
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11.23Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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9.05SUNY Maritime College2.420.0%1st Place
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15.31Princeton University0.130.0%1st Place
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13.53Rutgers University0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Whitford | 13.3% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Sabatt | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Padnos | 13.5% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Aswad | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Whitman | 12.8% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Halsey Richartz | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Connor Fitzpatrick | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 6.9% |
| Kevin Reilly | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| William Ricketson | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| David Coplon | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 24.7% | 23.2% |
| Andrew Sayre | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 2.3% |
| Timothy Hluchan | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Eleanor Elbert | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 21.3% | 46.7% |
| Jeremy Pyke | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 19.5% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.