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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University0.21+2.07vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia0.27+0.97vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.53-1.28vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.46-1.22vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.29-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
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2.97University of British Columbia0.270.1%1st Place
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1.72University of Washington1.530.5%1st Place
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2.78Western Washington University0.460.2%1st Place
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4.45University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wilkinson | 13.5% | 19.6% | 26.9% | 26.7% | 13.3% |
| Richard Minielly | 13.6% | 21.9% | 27.0% | 28.7% | 8.8% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 53.7% | 26.5% | 14.3% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Max Van Dam | 16.9% | 27.1% | 23.7% | 25.4% | 6.9% |
| Marelie Vorster | 2.3% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 70.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.