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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+0.53vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University0.21+0.59vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.46-0.64vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.29-0.11vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound-2.43-0.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53University of Washington1.530.6%1st Place
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2.59Oregon State University0.210.2%1st Place
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2.36Western Washington University0.460.2%1st Place
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3.89University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
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4.63University of Puget Sound-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 60.2% | 28.1% | 9.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 15.3% | 28.2% | 40.6% | 14.4% | 1.5% |
| Max Van Dam | 20.9% | 35.2% | 31.6% | 11.3% | 1.0% |
| Marelie Vorster | 2.8% | 6.6% | 13.3% | 53.2% | 24.1% |
| Curtis Mraz | 0.8% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 19.3% | 73.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.