← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+2.44vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles0.52+5.23vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California1.09+2.34vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California1.71-0.11vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+10.57vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California-0.48+5.10vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.29+3.10vs Predicted
-
8San Diego State University0.19+0.54vs Predicted
-
9California State University Channel Islands-1.40+5.88vs Predicted
-
10California Poly Maritime Academy0.81-3.69vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Berkeley0.86-5.04vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00+1.19vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Irvine-0.84-0.10vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-2.05+3.44vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis-1.40-0.17vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego-1.41-0.59vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Barbara-0.49-5.75vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Irvine-1.42-2.54vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Los Angeles-1.73-2.59vs Predicted
-
20San Diego State University-1.24-5.59vs Predicted
-
21California State University Channel Islands-1.98-3.72vs Predicted
-
22Arizona State University-0.62-9.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.44California Poly Maritime Academy1.9223.2%1st Place
-
7.23University of California at Los Angeles0.525.4%1st Place
-
5.34University of Southern California1.0911.8%1st Place
-
3.89University of Southern California1.7118.6%1st Place
-
15.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.5%1st Place
-
11.1University of Southern California-0.482.2%1st Place
-
10.1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.292.9%1st Place
-
8.54San Diego State University0.195.2%1st Place
-
14.88California State University Channel Islands-1.401.1%1st Place
-
6.31California Poly Maritime Academy0.817.8%1st Place
-
5.96University of California at Berkeley0.869.0%1st Place
-
13.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.001.6%1st Place
-
12.9University of California at Irvine-0.841.7%1st Place
-
17.44University of California at San Diego-2.050.2%1st Place
-
14.83University of California at Davis-1.401.0%1st Place
-
15.41University of California at San Diego-1.410.7%1st Place
-
11.25University of California at Santa Barbara-0.491.9%1st Place
-
15.46University of California at Irvine-1.420.7%1st Place
-
16.41University of California at Los Angeles-1.730.9%1st Place
-
14.41San Diego State University-1.241.1%1st Place
-
17.28California State University Channel Islands-1.980.7%1st Place
-
12.06Arizona State University-0.621.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 23.2% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Connelly | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Conze | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 18.6% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% |
| Ava Bergan | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Elliott | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Owen Gormely | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Seraphee de Labaca | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.1% |
| Nicolai Perez | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Brayden Money | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 21.7% |
| Blossom Jee | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 14.5% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 20.8% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.