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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+1.84vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22+4.23vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.27+5.36vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara-0.51+5.50vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.38+3.72vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.91+5.50vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-1.99+10.14vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.75+2.95vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.34-0.19vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-1.53+4.77vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.83+5.71vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.36+2.91vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-1.48+1.65vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-1.81+2.59vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.41-0.64vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.25-2.11vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz-1.17-3.66vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-0.86-6.43vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.50-4.14vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.72-4.02vs Predicted
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21University of California at Berkeley-1.53-6.03vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-2.21-3.45vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-1.01-10.85vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-1.22-10.67vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-2.63-4.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84University of California at Santa Cruz1.4533.1%1st Place
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6.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.229.2%1st Place
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8.36University of California at Santa Cruz-0.276.0%1st Place
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9.5University of California at Santa Barbara-0.514.3%1st Place
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8.72University of California at Santa Cruz-0.385.2%1st Place
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11.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.913.4%1st Place
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17.14University of California at Santa Cruz-1.990.9%1st Place
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10.95University of California at Berkeley-0.753.7%1st Place
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8.81University of California at Los Angeles-0.344.9%1st Place
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14.77Arizona State University-1.531.8%1st Place
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16.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.831.4%1st Place
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14.91University of California at Irvine-1.361.8%1st Place
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14.65University of California at Davis-1.482.1%1st Place
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16.59University of California at Irvine-1.811.1%1st Place
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14.36University of California at Davis-1.412.3%1st Place
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13.89University of California at San Diego-1.252.1%1st Place
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13.34University of California at Santa Cruz-1.172.2%1st Place
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11.57San Diego State University-0.862.8%1st Place
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14.86University of California at San Diego-1.501.2%1st Place
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15.98Arizona State University-1.721.4%1st Place
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14.97University of California at Berkeley-1.531.9%1st Place
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18.55Arizona State University-2.210.9%1st Place
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12.15San Diego State University-1.013.1%1st Place
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13.33University of California at Davis-1.222.5%1st Place
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20.32University of California at Los Angeles-2.630.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 33.1% | 23.1% | 15.4% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Ziegler | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emilia McNabb | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kestenbaum | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brily Petersen | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Claire Wiley | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Dakota Rutherford | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% |
| Connor Fagan | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Rigel Mummers | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Paul Munsell | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| James Makler | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Ryan Gedminas | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% |
| Juliette Cramer | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Adem Evecek | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| McQuaid Harkin-Goodrich | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Marley Daniel | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Liza Churkov | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Christopher Moore | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Dante Drolet | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 16.2% |
| julian stauffer | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Tony Gao | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Felix Zhang | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.