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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.94+4.03vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+2.25vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.30+1.40vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.98+1.02vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.31-0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.05-1.16vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.83-1.68vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.14-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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4.25University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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4.4Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.02Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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4.38Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
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5.32University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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2.75Tufts University3.140.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schryver | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 17.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 12.6% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 6.6% |
| Rachel Foster | 12.2% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 8.4% |
| Emilia Clementi | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 18.5% |
| Kyle Riggs | 9.6% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 8.8% |
| Colin Richards | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 15.5% |
| Peter Girard | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 23.6% |
| Jackson McCoy | 30.2% | 23.1% | 17.9% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.