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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+2.75vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.30+1.94vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.94+1.58vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.31+0.02vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.83-0.18vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.05-1.59vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.14-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
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3.94Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.58University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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4.02Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
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2.48Tufts University3.140.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Bamford | 15.5% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 9.8% |
| Rachel Foster | 12.8% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 11.2% |
| Matthew Schryver | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 18.7% | 21.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 12.1% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 11.0% |
| Peter Girard | 6.2% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 19.2% | 26.2% |
| Colin Richards | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 19.3% |
| Jackson McCoy | 34.1% | 25.0% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.