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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.14+1.58vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.30+1.95vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.05+1.40vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.83+0.78vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.31-0.97vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.94-1.43vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Tufts University3.140.3%1st Place
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3.95Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.4University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
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4.78University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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4.03Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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4.57University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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3.7University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McCoy | 34.2% | 22.8% | 16.8% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Rachel Foster | 11.7% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 10.6% |
| Colin Richards | 9.5% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 18.0% |
| Peter Girard | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 19.5% | 26.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 11.8% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 13.3% |
| Matthew Schryver | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 21.8% |
| Delaney Bamford | 16.1% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 16.7% | 11.4% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.