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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.83+3.55vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+1.70vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.30+0.86vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.14-1.46vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.05-0.68vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.31-2.17vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.39-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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3.7University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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3.86Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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2.54Tufts University3.140.3%1st Place
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4.32University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
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3.83Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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5.2University of Rhode Island1.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Girard | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 19.8% | 20.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 13.7% | 16.8% | 16.5% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 7.5% |
| Rachel Foster | 13.4% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 9.1% |
| Jackson McCoy | 33.6% | 24.2% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Colin Richards | 8.4% | 12.1% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 15.7% |
| Kyle Riggs | 14.6% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 9.3% |
| Garrett Connelly | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 19.0% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.