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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.71+2.88vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.09+3.36vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+0.40vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.86+1.95vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California-0.48+6.07vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.81+0.32vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.52+0.19vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.29+2.28vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara-0.49+2.47vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00+3.49vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University0.19-2.23vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.42+3.62vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.13+1.97vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.84-0.94vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+0.49vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.73+0.78vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-1.40-2.00vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.62-5.85vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.41-3.54vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-1.24-5.48vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-1.40-5.74vs Predicted
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22California State University Channel Islands-1.98-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88University of Southern California1.7118.4%1st Place
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5.36University of Southern California1.0910.9%1st Place
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3.4California Poly Maritime Academy1.9223.9%1st Place
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5.95University of California at Berkeley0.868.5%1st Place
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11.07University of Southern California-0.482.9%1st Place
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6.32California Poly Maritime Academy0.817.8%1st Place
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7.19University of California at Los Angeles0.526.2%1st Place
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10.28University of California at Santa Cruz-0.292.5%1st Place
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11.47University of California at Santa Barbara-0.492.1%1st Place
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13.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.001.6%1st Place
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8.77San Diego State University0.194.5%1st Place
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15.62University of California at Irvine-1.420.7%1st Place
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14.97University of California at San Diego-1.131.2%1st Place
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13.06University of California at Irvine-0.841.1%1st Place
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15.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.481.1%1st Place
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16.78University of California at Los Angeles-1.731.0%1st Place
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15.0University of California at Davis-1.400.7%1st Place
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12.15Arizona State University-0.621.3%1st Place
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15.46University of California at San Diego-1.410.9%1st Place
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14.52San Diego State University-1.241.1%1st Place
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15.26California State University Channel Islands-1.401.1%1st Place
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17.51California State University Channel Islands-1.980.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 18.4% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Conze | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 23.9% | 20.5% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Bergan | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicolai Perez | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Connelly | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Elliott | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Owen Gormely | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 9.0% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% |
| Brayden Money | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% |
| Andrew Bistras | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 18.6% |
| Blossom Jee | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Seraphee de Labaca | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.