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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.31+2.76vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+1.71vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.30+0.87vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.05+0.29vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.14-2.45vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.83-1.38vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.39-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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3.71University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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3.87Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.29University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
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2.55Tufts University3.140.3%1st Place
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4.62University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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5.2University of Rhode Island1.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Riggs | 14.8% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 10.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 14.0% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 7.3% |
| Rachel Foster | 13.6% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 9.7% |
| Colin Richards | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 19.6% | 13.5% |
| Jackson McCoy | 33.2% | 23.4% | 17.5% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Peter Girard | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 20.6% | 20.5% |
| Garrett Connelly | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 37.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.