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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.30+2.78vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.05+2.22vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.14-0.49vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.31-0.12vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36-1.22vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.83-1.38vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.39-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78Brown University2.300.2%1st Place
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4.22University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
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2.51Tufts University3.140.3%1st Place
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3.88Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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3.78University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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4.62University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Rhode Island1.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Foster | 16.0% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 10.0% |
| Colin Richards | 10.0% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 18.3% | 15.9% | 13.2% |
| Jackson McCoy | 32.5% | 26.4% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Kyle Riggs | 13.5% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 9.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 13.5% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 8.7% |
| Peter Girard | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 20.0% | 20.4% |
| Garrett Connelly | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 19.9% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.