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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+1.83vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.27+6.49vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.38+5.98vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22+2.20vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.34+3.97vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.75+4.82vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-1.81+9.48vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.91+3.00vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-1.48+5.66vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara-0.51-0.58vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.25+3.09vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.50+3.18vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.72+3.18vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-1.99+3.27vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.86-3.57vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.41-1.55vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.83-0.43vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-1.53-2.77vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.53-4.05vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz-1.17-6.91vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-1.01-9.18vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.22-8.45vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-2.63-2.68vs Predicted
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24University of California at Irvine-1.36-9.48vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-2.21-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83University of California at Santa Cruz1.4532.6%1st Place
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8.49University of California at Santa Cruz-0.274.9%1st Place
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8.98University of California at Santa Cruz-0.385.5%1st Place
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6.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.229.6%1st Place
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8.97University of California at Los Angeles-0.345.5%1st Place
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10.82University of California at Berkeley-0.753.9%1st Place
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16.48University of California at Irvine-1.811.4%1st Place
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11.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.913.5%1st Place
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14.66University of California at Davis-1.482.2%1st Place
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9.42University of California at Santa Barbara-0.514.2%1st Place
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14.09University of California at San Diego-1.252.2%1st Place
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15.18University of California at San Diego-1.501.7%1st Place
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16.18Arizona State University-1.721.5%1st Place
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17.27University of California at Santa Cruz-1.991.5%1st Place
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11.43San Diego State University-0.863.0%1st Place
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14.45University of California at Davis-1.412.2%1st Place
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16.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.831.1%1st Place
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15.23University of California at Berkeley-1.531.1%1st Place
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14.95Arizona State University-1.532.0%1st Place
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13.09University of California at Santa Cruz-1.172.5%1st Place
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11.82San Diego State University-1.012.1%1st Place
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13.55University of California at Davis-1.222.5%1st Place
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20.32University of California at Los Angeles-2.630.7%1st Place
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14.52University of California at Irvine-1.361.9%1st Place
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18.5Arizona State University-2.210.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 32.6% | 23.1% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emilia McNabb | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Brily Petersen | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Parker Ziegler | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rigel Mummers | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Fagan | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Gedminas | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% |
| Claire Wiley | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| James Makler | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Andrew Kestenbaum | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adem Evecek | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Liza Churkov | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Christopher Moore | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
| Dakota Rutherford | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% |
| Marley Daniel | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Juliette Cramer | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Paul Munsell | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% |
| Dante Drolet | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| McQuaid Harkin-Goodrich | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| julian stauffer | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Tony Gao | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Felix Zhang | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 32.7% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.