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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.09+4.44vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+1.41vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.86+3.15vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.71-0.14vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.52+2.18vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University0.19+2.60vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-1.40+8.15vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00+5.63vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.29+1.41vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.81-3.68vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara-0.49+0.27vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.24+2.68vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.84-0.05vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California-0.48-3.00vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.73+1.85vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-0.33vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.41-1.53vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-1.40-2.93vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-1.42-3.54vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.13-5.00vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-0.62-9.05vs Predicted
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22California State University Channel Islands-1.98-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44University of Southern California1.0910.3%1st Place
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3.41California Poly Maritime Academy1.9223.0%1st Place
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6.15University of California at Berkeley0.868.8%1st Place
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3.86University of Southern California1.7118.9%1st Place
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7.18University of California at Los Angeles0.527.0%1st Place
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8.6San Diego State University0.194.4%1st Place
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15.15University of California at Davis-1.400.8%1st Place
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13.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.001.2%1st Place
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10.41University of California at Santa Cruz-0.293.4%1st Place
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6.32California Poly Maritime Academy0.817.9%1st Place
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11.27University of California at Santa Barbara-0.492.5%1st Place
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14.68San Diego State University-1.240.9%1st Place
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12.95University of California at Irvine-0.841.1%1st Place
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11.0University of Southern California-0.482.8%1st Place
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16.85University of California at Los Angeles-1.730.4%1st Place
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15.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.8%1st Place
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15.47University of California at San Diego-1.411.0%1st Place
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15.07California State University Channel Islands-1.400.7%1st Place
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15.46University of California at Irvine-1.420.9%1st Place
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15.0University of California at San Diego-1.130.9%1st Place
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11.95Arizona State University-0.621.9%1st Place
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17.46California State University Channel Islands-1.980.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Conze | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 23.0% | 20.7% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 18.9% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Connelly | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Gormely | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Blossom Jee | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Lucas Elliott | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicolai Perez | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Brayden Money | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Ava Bergan | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 17.1% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% |
| Seraphee de Labaca | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.