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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wesleyan University-0.32+0.86vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University-0.40-0.09vs Predicted
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3Williams College-3.06+1.37vs Predicted
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4Amherst College-2.18-0.35vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-1.75-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Wesleyan University-0.320.4%1st Place
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1.91Fairfield University-0.400.4%1st Place
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4.37Williams College-3.060.0%1st Place
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3.65Amherst College-2.180.1%1st Place
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3.21Middlebury College-1.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Bushnell | 43.3% | 34.8% | 15.6% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Mitchell Owen | 39.8% | 36.0% | 18.0% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| Maeve Serino | 2.4% | 3.8% | 10.8% | 20.8% | 62.2% |
| Luke Haggerty | 5.2% | 9.1% | 23.8% | 39.0% | 22.9% |
| Nick Jaczko | 9.3% | 16.3% | 31.8% | 29.6% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.