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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University-0.40+0.94vs Predicted
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2Wesleyan University-0.32-0.14vs Predicted
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3Amherst College-2.18+0.61vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.75-0.77vs Predicted
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5Williams College-3.06-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94Fairfield University-0.400.4%1st Place
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1.86Wesleyan University-0.320.4%1st Place
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3.61Amherst College-2.180.1%1st Place
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3.23Middlebury College-1.750.1%1st Place
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4.36Williams College-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Owen | 40.0% | 34.7% | 18.1% | 6.1% | 1.1% |
| Henry Bushnell | 42.8% | 34.0% | 17.8% | 5.1% | 0.3% |
| Luke Haggerty | 6.9% | 10.1% | 21.4% | 38.6% | 23.0% |
| Nick Jaczko | 8.0% | 16.3% | 33.0% | 29.9% | 12.8% |
| Maeve Serino | 2.3% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 20.3% | 62.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.