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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University-0.40+0.93vs Predicted
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2Wesleyan University-0.32-0.14vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-1.75+0.19vs Predicted
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4Amherst College-2.18-0.35vs Predicted
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5Williams College-3.06-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.93Fairfield University-0.400.4%1st Place
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1.86Wesleyan University-0.320.4%1st Place
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3.19Middlebury College-1.750.1%1st Place
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3.65Amherst College-2.180.0%1st Place
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4.37Williams College-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Owen | 39.6% | 35.8% | 17.1% | 6.6% | 0.9% |
| Henry Bushnell | 42.5% | 34.8% | 17.8% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Nick Jaczko | 10.7% | 13.7% | 32.3% | 32.0% | 11.3% |
| Luke Haggerty | 4.9% | 10.6% | 23.8% | 36.4% | 24.3% |
| Maeve Serino | 2.3% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 20.6% | 63.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.