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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University-0.40+0.95vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-1.75+1.21vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University-0.32-1.16vs Predicted
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4Amherst College-2.18-0.37vs Predicted
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5Williams College-3.06-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95Fairfield University-0.400.4%1st Place
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3.21Middlebury College-1.750.1%1st Place
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1.84Wesleyan University-0.320.4%1st Place
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3.63Amherst College-2.180.1%1st Place
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4.37Williams College-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Owen | 38.9% | 36.6% | 16.6% | 6.7% | 1.2% |
| Nick Jaczko | 8.6% | 16.3% | 31.5% | 32.4% | 11.2% |
| Henry Bushnell | 44.4% | 34.1% | 15.4% | 5.5% | 0.6% |
| Luke Haggerty | 5.9% | 8.4% | 26.1% | 36.0% | 23.6% |
| Maeve Serino | 2.2% | 4.6% | 10.4% | 19.4% | 63.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.