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📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+1.87vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.27+6.51vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22+3.39vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara-0.51+5.57vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.34+3.80vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.38+2.72vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.75+3.67vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-1.48+6.87vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.25+5.11vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.91+1.24vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.50+3.86vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-1.17+1.17vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-2.21+5.74vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-1.81+2.53vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-1.36-0.37vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.83+0.57vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-1.53-2.08vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-1.41-3.45vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University-0.86-7.72vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.72-3.86vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.53-6.34vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-2.63-1.60vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-1.01-10.93vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-1.22-10.60vs Predicted
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25University of California at Santa Cruz-1.99-7.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87University of California at Santa Cruz1.4531.8%1st Place
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8.51University of California at Santa Cruz-0.276.2%1st Place
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6.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2210.2%1st Place
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9.57University of California at Santa Barbara-0.514.3%1st Place
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8.8University of California at Los Angeles-0.345.1%1st Place
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8.72University of California at Santa Cruz-0.385.5%1st Place
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10.67University of California at Berkeley-0.754.0%1st Place
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14.87University of California at Davis-1.482.1%1st Place
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14.11University of California at San Diego-1.251.5%1st Place
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11.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.913.6%1st Place
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14.86University of California at San Diego-1.502.0%1st Place
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13.17University of California at Santa Cruz-1.172.6%1st Place
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18.74Arizona State University-2.211.1%1st Place
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16.53University of California at Irvine-1.811.0%1st Place
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14.63University of California at Irvine-1.361.6%1st Place
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16.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.831.1%1st Place
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14.92University of California at Berkeley-1.531.6%1st Place
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14.55University of California at Davis-1.411.9%1st Place
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11.28San Diego State University-0.863.7%1st Place
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16.14Arizona State University-1.721.1%1st Place
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14.66Arizona State University-1.532.0%1st Place
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20.4University of California at Los Angeles-2.630.4%1st Place
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12.07San Diego State University-1.012.9%1st Place
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13.4University of California at Davis-1.221.9%1st Place
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17.35University of California at Santa Cruz-1.990.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 31.8% | 23.4% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emilia McNabb | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Ziegler | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kestenbaum | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rigel Mummers | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brily Petersen | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Connor Fagan | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| James Makler | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Adem Evecek | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Claire Wiley | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Liza Churkov | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| McQuaid Harkin-Goodrich | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 16.9% |
| Ryan Gedminas | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Paul Munsell | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% |
| Dante Drolet | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Juliette Cramer | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Marley Daniel | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Moore | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Felix Zhang | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 32.0% |
| julian stauffer | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Tony Gao | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Dakota Rutherford | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.