← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ocean County College1.12+0.93vs Predicted
-
2University of Delaware-0.39+1.87vs Predicted
-
3Drexel University-0.06+0.43vs Predicted
-
4Monmouth University-0.46+0.06vs Predicted
-
5University of Pittsburgh-0.45-0.95vs Predicted
-
6Webb Institute-0.47-2.00vs Predicted
-
7University of Delaware-0.39-3.13vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Military Academy-3.19-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.93Ocean County College1.120.5%1st Place
-
3.87University of Delaware-0.390.1%1st Place
-
3.43Drexel University-0.060.1%1st Place
-
4.06Monmouth University-0.460.1%1st Place
-
4.05University of Pittsburgh-0.450.1%1st Place
-
4.0Webb Institute-0.470.1%1st Place
-
3.87University of Delaware-0.390.1%1st Place
-
6.66U. S. Military Academy-3.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Thompson-Sevcik | 47.8% | 27.4% | 14.0% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Evan Shone | 10.7% | 13.1% | 17.6% | 18.6% | 19.3% | 18.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 13.1% | 20.1% | 19.6% | 19.3% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 9.3% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 18.8% | 20.3% | 21.4% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Wells | 9.0% | 12.9% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 21.1% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 9.7% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 18.4% | 19.2% | 21.3% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Evan Shone | 10.7% | 13.1% | 17.6% | 18.6% | 19.3% | 18.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Ruby Garcia | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 84.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.