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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.16+3.46vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.73+6.65vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.60+6.30vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.59+1.78vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.97+3.01vs Predicted
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6Penn State University1.13+2.11vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.35-0.47vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.67+0.07vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.92-1.03vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.70-4.44vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.82-6.24vs Predicted
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12Hampton University0.58-5.12vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.21-1.38vs Predicted
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14American University-0.61-1.78vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-0.45-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46U. S. Naval Academy2.1616.5%1st Place
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8.65Christopher Newport University0.734.3%1st Place
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9.3Christopher Newport University0.602.9%1st Place
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5.78Old Dominion University1.5910.8%1st Place
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8.01Old Dominion University0.974.9%1st Place
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8.11Penn State University1.135.3%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Naval Academy1.358.1%1st Place
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8.07Virginia Tech0.675.2%1st Place
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7.97St. Mary's College of Maryland0.924.5%1st Place
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5.56St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7012.2%1st Place
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4.76George Washington University1.8213.8%1st Place
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6.88Hampton University0.588.1%1st Place
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11.62William and Mary-0.211.4%1st Place
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12.22American University-0.611.1%1st Place
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12.09University of Maryland-0.451.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Reinecke | 16.5% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 5.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Leo Robillard | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| James Lilyquist | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Scott Opert | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Mason Cook | 12.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 13.8% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Brown | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 13.9% | 21.4% | 21.2% |
| Miles White | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 19.0% | 34.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 20.2% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.