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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College3.65+3.93vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.63+2.97vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56+2.30vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79+0.68vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.37+0.67vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.13+4.03vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.73+0.93vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.48+0.59vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-2.87vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University1.95+0.43vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.23-1.38vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.42-3.11vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.13+2.16vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.42-1.76vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University0.97-1.70vs Predicted
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16Drexel University0.70-1.91vs Predicted
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17Villanova University1.80-5.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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4.97University of Pennsylvania3.630.1%1st Place
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5.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.1%1st Place
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4.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.2%1st Place
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5.67U. S. Naval Academy3.370.1%1st Place
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10.03Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
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7.93Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.480.1%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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10.43Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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9.62George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.89SUNY Maritime College2.420.0%1st Place
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15.16Princeton University0.130.0%1st Place
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12.24Cornell University1.420.0%1st Place
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13.3Rutgers University0.970.0%1st Place
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14.09Drexel University0.700.0%1st Place
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11.03Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Whitford | 13.6% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Halsey Richartz | 12.6% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Whitman | 11.2% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Padnos | 15.3% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Sabatt | 11.2% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Coplon | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Sachs | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Reilly | 5.6% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Nick Aswad | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Meredith Carroll | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Timothy Hluchan | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Eleanor Elbert | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 19.6% | 48.9% |
| Connor Fitzpatrick | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 6.1% |
| Jeremy Pyke | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 17.0% | 20.5% | 14.7% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 16.6% | 23.1% | 22.3% |
| Andrew Sayre | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.