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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+1.74vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.27+6.38vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-0.34+5.60vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara-0.51+5.38vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22+1.24vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.38+3.00vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-1.48+7.71vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.91+3.29vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-1.81+7.85vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.86+1.67vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.75-0.12vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-2.21+6.56vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.72+3.07vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.25-0.01vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.50+0.08vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-1.53-1.08vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-2.63+3.36vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-1.36-3.40vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz-1.17-5.92vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-1.22-6.64vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-1.41-6.79vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-1.53-7.00vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.83-6.23vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Cruz-1.99-6.83vs Predicted
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25San Diego State University-1.01-12.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74University of California at Santa Cruz1.4532.4%1st Place
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8.38University of California at Santa Cruz-0.275.5%1st Place
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8.6University of California at Los Angeles-0.346.6%1st Place
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9.38University of California at Santa Barbara-0.515.1%1st Place
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6.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.229.5%1st Place
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9.0University of California at Santa Cruz-0.384.5%1st Place
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14.71University of California at Davis-1.481.6%1st Place
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11.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.913.5%1st Place
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16.85University of California at Irvine-1.810.8%1st Place
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11.67San Diego State University-0.862.5%1st Place
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10.88University of California at Berkeley-0.754.2%1st Place
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18.56Arizona State University-2.210.6%1st Place
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16.07Arizona State University-1.721.0%1st Place
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13.99University of California at San Diego-1.251.8%1st Place
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15.08University of California at San Diego-1.501.9%1st Place
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14.92University of California at Berkeley-1.531.4%1st Place
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20.36University of California at Los Angeles-2.630.6%1st Place
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14.6University of California at Irvine-1.362.1%1st Place
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13.08University of California at Santa Cruz-1.172.4%1st Place
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13.36University of California at Davis-1.222.4%1st Place
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14.21University of California at Davis-1.412.5%1st Place
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15.0Arizona State University-1.531.8%1st Place
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16.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.831.0%1st Place
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17.17University of California at Santa Cruz-1.991.2%1st Place
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12.09San Diego State University-1.013.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 32.4% | 25.4% | 16.6% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emilia McNabb | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rigel Mummers | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Kestenbaum | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Parker Ziegler | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brily Petersen | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| James Makler | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% |
| Claire Wiley | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Gedminas | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% |
| Marley Daniel | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Connor Fagan | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 15.2% |
| Christopher Moore | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% |
| Adem Evecek | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Liza Churkov | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Dante Drolet | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
| Felix Zhang | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 31.0% |
| Matthew Stank | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| McQuaid Harkin-Goodrich | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Tony Gao | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Juliette Cramer | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Paul Munsell | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% |
| Dakota Rutherford | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% |
| julian stauffer | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.