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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.33+0.68vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.23+0.60vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University0.53-0.64vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-1.01-0.21vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-2.46+0.02vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-3.24-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.68Webb Institute1.330.5%1st Place
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2.6Ocean County College0.230.2%1st Place
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2.36Monmouth University0.530.2%1st Place
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3.79Drexel University-1.010.0%1st Place
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5.02University of Pittsburgh-2.460.0%1st Place
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5.55U. S. Military Academy-3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zane Tinnell | 53.8% | 28.8% | 13.6% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 18.2% | 26.4% | 35.5% | 17.0% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 22.6% | 33.2% | 31.7% | 11.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| William Simon | 4.4% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 51.9% | 18.8% | 2.3% |
| Kieran Maroney | 0.6% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 11.7% | 50.6% | 30.9% |
| David Chung | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 5.0% | 26.0% | 66.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.