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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.18+1.93vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.27-0.27vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.93-2.00vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.08-0.71vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.44-1.07vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.23-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93University of Minnesota1.180.2%1st Place
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2.73Northwestern University1.270.2%1st Place
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2.0Northwestern University1.930.4%1st Place
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4.29University of Minnesota0.080.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Minnesota-0.440.0%1st Place
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4.13Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Hamilton | 18.0% | 22.4% | 25.9% | 20.3% | 9.4% | 4.0% |
| Jacob Bruce | 22.6% | 26.4% | 21.4% | 17.8% | 9.0% | 2.8% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 42.4% | 30.1% | 16.7% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Michael Valverde | 6.7% | 7.2% | 13.4% | 20.1% | 28.5% | 24.1% |
| Maya Smith | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 22.6% | 49.1% |
| Susan Riley | 6.7% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 21.5% | 28.1% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.