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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Minnesota0.08+2.29vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.18-0.16vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.44+0.84vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.23-0.91vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.27-3.11vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.93-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29University of Minnesota0.080.1%1st Place
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2.84University of Minnesota1.180.2%1st Place
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4.84University of Minnesota-0.440.0%1st Place
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4.09Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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2.89Northwestern University1.270.2%1st Place
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2.05Northwestern University1.930.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Valverde | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 20.2% | 25.8% | 26.1% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 22.0% | 22.4% | 23.1% | 18.4% | 10.2% | 3.9% |
| Maya Smith | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 22.2% | 47.2% |
| Susan Riley | 7.0% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 22.3% | 28.0% | 18.4% |
| Jacob Bruce | 19.7% | 24.3% | 22.3% | 18.6% | 11.0% | 4.1% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 40.2% | 29.1% | 19.6% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.