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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Minnesota1.18+0.77vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.08+1.05vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.27-1.41vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.93-3.09vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.73-1.01vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.44-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77University of Minnesota1.180.2%1st Place
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4.05University of Minnesota0.080.1%1st Place
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2.59Northwestern University1.270.2%1st Place
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1.91Northwestern University1.930.4%1st Place
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4.99Northwestern University-0.730.0%1st Place
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4.69University of Minnesota-0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Hamilton | 19.8% | 25.0% | 25.8% | 19.4% | 7.6% | 2.4% |
| Michael Valverde | 6.5% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 25.6% | 26.9% | 15.9% |
| Jacob Bruce | 24.1% | 26.0% | 25.7% | 16.4% | 6.4% | 1.4% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 44.6% | 30.1% | 16.8% | 6.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Balka | 2.5% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 26.4% | 47.3% |
| Maya Smith | 2.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 19.0% | 31.2% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.