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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.34+1.18vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois-0.28+0.90vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.73+0.52vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.68-0.53vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.78-1.26vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-2.03-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18University of Minnesota0.340.4%1st Place
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2.9University of Illinois-0.280.2%1st Place
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3.52Northwestern University-0.730.1%1st Place
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3.47Northwestern University-0.680.1%1st Place
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3.74University of Minnesota-0.780.1%1st Place
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5.18University of Minnesota-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stone | 37.9% | 28.8% | 17.1% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 21.2% | 23.9% | 20.3% | 17.5% | 12.2% | 4.9% |
| Brian Fogarty | 13.2% | 15.0% | 18.8% | 21.4% | 22.4% | 9.2% |
| Kelly Logacho | 14.0% | 15.3% | 20.0% | 19.6% | 22.8% | 8.3% |
| Julia Sachs | 10.6% | 13.5% | 18.1% | 20.5% | 23.3% | 14.0% |
| Ben Bachan | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 62.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.