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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.34+1.18vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois-0.28+0.91vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.73+0.53vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.78-1.40vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.68-2.41vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-2.03-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18University of Minnesota0.340.4%1st Place
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2.91University of Illinois-0.280.2%1st Place
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3.53Northwestern University-0.730.1%1st Place
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3.6University of Minnesota-0.780.1%1st Place
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3.59Northwestern University-0.680.1%1st Place
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5.18University of Minnesota-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stone | 37.9% | 28.9% | 16.9% | 11.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 20.7% | 24.2% | 20.5% | 17.4% | 12.2% | 5.0% |
| Brian Fogarty | 13.5% | 15.0% | 18.0% | 21.7% | 22.2% | 9.6% |
| Julia Sachs | 13.1% | 13.0% | 19.1% | 20.2% | 24.5% | 10.1% |
| Kelly Logacho | 11.7% | 15.4% | 19.7% | 20.1% | 21.3% | 11.8% |
| Ben Bachan | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 15.9% | 62.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.