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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.34+1.26vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois-0.28+1.01vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.73-0.35vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-2.03+0.15vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.78-2.14vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.29-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26University of Minnesota0.340.4%1st Place
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3.01University of Illinois-0.280.2%1st Place
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3.65Northwestern University-0.730.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Minnesota-2.030.0%1st Place
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3.86University of Minnesota-0.780.1%1st Place
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3.07Northwestern University-0.290.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stone | 35.8% | 27.2% | 20.7% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 20.9% | 21.4% | 19.0% | 19.2% | 13.2% | 6.3% |
| Brian Fogarty | 12.1% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 21.8% | 23.6% | 11.2% |
| Ben Bachan | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 18.1% | 60.5% |
| Julia Sachs | 9.9% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 21.2% | 23.9% | 16.6% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 18.4% | 20.1% | 21.7% | 20.1% | 15.6% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.