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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.34+1.26vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.73+1.62vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.29+0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-0.28-0.98vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.78-1.18vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-2.03-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26University of Minnesota0.340.4%1st Place
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3.62Northwestern University-0.730.1%1st Place
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3.05Northwestern University-0.290.2%1st Place
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3.02University of Illinois-0.280.2%1st Place
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3.82University of Minnesota-0.780.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Minnesota-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stone | 37.0% | 28.1% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Brian Fogarty | 11.1% | 17.2% | 16.9% | 19.0% | 24.5% | 11.3% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 18.9% | 20.7% | 20.5% | 20.9% | 14.5% | 4.5% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 19.9% | 18.4% | 23.1% | 20.3% | 14.9% | 3.4% |
| Julia Sachs | 10.2% | 12.6% | 17.6% | 19.3% | 24.9% | 15.4% |
| Ben Bachan | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 63.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.