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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.34+1.23vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.58+0.35vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.78-0.34vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.68-1.51vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-0.28-2.93vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-2.03-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23University of Minnesota0.340.4%1st Place
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3.35Northwestern University-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.66University of Minnesota-0.780.1%1st Place
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3.49Northwestern University-0.680.1%1st Place
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3.07University of Illinois-0.280.2%1st Place
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5.19University of Minnesota-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stone | 38.2% | 26.2% | 17.4% | 12.2% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Coby Parker | 14.2% | 19.1% | 20.1% | 18.7% | 19.7% | 8.2% |
| Julia Sachs | 11.5% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 21.1% | 24.7% | 11.3% |
| Kelly Logacho | 14.3% | 14.9% | 18.4% | 20.8% | 23.0% | 8.6% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 19.0% | 20.8% | 21.7% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 6.2% |
| Ben Bachan | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 64.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.